Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.018322 0.019762 0.021261 0.022938 0.024764 0.026693 0.028887
2025-10-26 0.015841 0.017896 0.020147 0.022801 0.025849 0.029249 0.033339
2025-11-02 0.014245 0.016654 0.019395 0.022755 0.026775 0.031449 0.037320
2025-11-09 0.012875 0.015469 0.018511 0.022359 0.027119 0.032844 0.040295
2025-11-16 0.011778 0.014482 0.017736 0.021964 0.027344 0.034008 0.042956
2025-11-23 0.011013 0.013824 0.017284 0.021890 0.027905 0.035555 0.046123
2025-11-30 0.010316 0.013190 0.016802 0.021715 0.028281 0.036838 0.048970
2025-12-07 0.009733 0.012656 0.016401 0.021597 0.028693 0.038153 0.051893
2025-12-14 0.009194 0.012142 0.015985 0.021417 0.028986 0.039289 0.054601
2025-12-21 0.008795 0.011788 0.015756 0.021464 0.029572 0.040835 0.057948
2025-12-28 0.008377 0.011383 0.015428 0.021346 0.029902 0.042018 0.060810
2026-01-04 0.008027 0.011050 0.015179 0.021314 0.030341 0.043358 0.063960
2026-01-11 0.007685 0.010725 0.014943 0.021315 0.030864 0.044906 0.067614
2026-01-18 0.007353 0.010400 0.014690 0.021279 0.031332 0.046401 0.071295
2026-01-25 0.007051 0.010099 0.014456 0.021252 0.031802 0.047913 0.075084
2026-02-01 0.006678 0.009676 0.014018 0.020888 0.031723 0.048554 0.077489
2026-02-08 0.006332 0.009277 0.013595 0.020522 0.031612 0.049126 0.079793
2026-02-15 0.006090 0.009021 0.013374 0.020454 0.031965 0.050449 0.083429
2026-02-22 0.005841 0.008743 0.013104 0.020291 0.032149 0.051496 0.086643
2026-03-01 0.005621 0.008500 0.012876 0.020182 0.032409 0.052673 0.090145
2026-03-08 0.005402 0.008248 0.012622 0.020015 0.032559 0.053662 0.093361
2026-03-15 0.005243 0.008084 0.012502 0.020059 0.033062 0.055278 0.097810
2026-03-22 0.005061 0.007875 0.012296 0.019949 0.033292 0.056421 0.101445